Articles | Volume 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/sand-2-93-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/sand-2-93-2023
Conference Abstract
 | 
06 Sep 2023
Conference Abstract |  | 06 Sep 2023

Methods for the quantification of uncertainties in thermo–hydro–mechanical simulations for safety analyses and influence of modelling decisions

Thomas Nagel, Maximilian Bittens, Jörg Buchwald, Aqeel A. Chaudhry, Oliver G. Ernst, Werner Gräsle, Feliks Kiszkurno, Kata Kurgyis, Jobst Maßmann, Sibylle Mayr, Jan Thiedau, and Chao Zhang

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Computer simulations are used to understand processes in nuclear waste disposal. The results are used to judge the safety of waste repository. Not all the information needed for such analyses, e.g. rock properties, is precisely known, contributing to uncertainty in the analysis results. We are interested in understanding the effect of the uncertainty of input quantities and of certain simplifications made during model creation on the outcome of computer simulations.